Messages posted by: Arcsol

We shall go on to the end, we shall fight in France, we shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our Island, whatever the cost may be, we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender, and even if, which I do not for a moment believe, this Island or a large part of it were subjugated and starving, then our Empire beyond the seas, armed and guarded by the British Fleet, would carry on the struggle, until, in God's good time, the New World, with all its power and might, steps forth to the rescue and the liberation of the Old.

What stakes do you play?

BobbyE wrote:

Domer wrote:

He PMed me wanting to make a 10k bet. When I made the fatal error of asking him what it is he wanted to bet on he said "too late, offer is gone. I will no longer pay attention to you. You're *bleep*ing annoying now."

lol.

How much more time shall we give it domer? I figured you'd be the only one laughing at your own posts. Sad.

No on else even bothered. The bash was yesterday, troll. Your ticket is no longer good for admission.

Just for the record. I thought it was funny. I'm convinced you are doing this just for attention Bobby.

I'll let you know. With your history, I'd be foolish not to bet against you.

Back for more Idol Bobby?

I don't think Avatar has a shot at Best Director or Best Picture. Honestly, I think Inglorious Basterds has a better shot than Avatar.

Do you have the screenshot?

Abacus wrote:

Obama's poll numbers are tanking. Therefore, I'd like to propose a contract as to how low they will fall. I think it would get volume and is interesting. Any Seconds?

Obama Poll Touch contracts? Interesting....

Apparently polls aren't allowed during the run off period because of Ukranian Law? Are you kidding me?

So Rigged.

Domestic and usually for the 3-Day Opening Weekend.

MoneyMetalBets wrote:

I gotta give a shout-out to Daily Chuck aka Arcsol for having some pretty spot on projections for the box office this weekend. I guess the model is finally hitting its stride.

We still don't know how the weekend is going to turn out exactly. Tooth Fairy still has a slight chance of going over $14 Million and screwing me over.

Having said that, I think I finally found a really good set of variables that work. Some of which I have had to make up. I fully expect some movies to be unpredictable though. It's just impossible to account for every factor.

ChrisVanNiekerk wrote:

I doubt that I will spark a lot of interest but Intrade opened a market on the Ukrainian election. (It wasn't at my behest but I seem to have been one of only two people trading on this market.) On February 7, there will be a runoff between Yanukovych and Tymoshenko. Actually, the political situation in Ukraine is fascinating... A few years after the "Orange Revolution," we have Yanukovych poised to assume power but the political division in the country and the possible support of the other contenders for Tymoshenko do not make it a foregone conclusion that Yanukovych will win.

Thanks for bringing it to my attention. I'll look it up and let you know.

I don't see any signs of market manipulation. The price seems to accurately reflect the true odds right now. Orders on average don't appear to be that large.

There will definitely be more polls coming this weekend.

I thought there was a contract on this but I can't find it.